In Tunisia’s hierarchy of priorities for its development strategy in the coming period, protecting citizens’ purchasing power and controlling prices are placed at the top.
Official forecasts target a stabilization of the inflation rate around 5.3% in 2026. This rate is similar to that reported by the National Institute of Statistics (INS) on Monday, January 5, 2026, for the entire year of 2025, reflecting a stronger determination to reduce inflationary pressures, which reached 7% in 2024.
This annual decline coincided with the stabilization of the inflation rate at 4.9% in December 2025 compared to the previous month.
A key step in the downward trajectory
According to the Consumer Price Index published Monday by the INS, Tunisia achieved relative success in 2025 by lowering the inflation rate to 5.3%.
Despite pressures from rising food prices (+6.1%), the significant drop in edible oil prices (–14.8%) and the stabilization of underlying inflation (excluding energy and food) at 4.9% by year-end provided a more stable outlook for 2026.
The first part of 2025 was marked by effective inflation control, keeping rates within acceptable limits thanks to a cautious monetary policy.
The decrease is also attributed to careful monitoring of market supply and intensified inspection and control operations.
Forecasts indicate that the downward trend in inflation will continue throughout 2026, supported by reduced pressures on food prices.
Official projections for price control rely on consolidating national production and accelerating the digitalization of monitoring systems and distribution channels.
Inflation of 5.3% expected in 2026
The government expects 2026 to be marked by continued efforts to control inflation and keep it at acceptable levels. Measures include ensuring the regular supply of basic goods through reserve stock formation, intensifying market controls to limit speculation, combating monopolies, and further reorganizing distribution networks, according to the 2026 economic balance report.
Improvements in agricultural production and declines in global commodity prices are also expected to ease price pressures further.
The government emphasizes that stabilizing inflation at around 5.3% this year requires integrating economic and social policies with sectoral strategies in a coherent manner to improve efficiency and make better use of available resources.
Establishing effective monitoring and evaluation mechanisms is also a priority to ensure procedures and programs are implemented on schedule.
These comprehensive, integrated measures are expected to strengthen the competitiveness of the economy and achieve inclusive growth, ensuring fairness across social, economic, environmental, and sectoral dimensions.
