The rise in the guaranteed minimum wage is expected to significantly affect the resources of social security funds, according to labor law professor Hafedh Laamouri.
He added that the war with Iran could also affect hiring and salary increases in both the public and private sectors.
Speaking on Mosaïque FM, he explained that, unlike other countries, Tunisia has not raised fuel prices, with increases absorbed by the subsidy budget over the past 26 days.
“Each $1 increase in the price of a barrel of oil costs the state 150 million dinars, meaning the cost has already exceeded 500 million dinars in less than a month,” he said.
Laamouri noted that the 2026 budget deficit is higher than in previous years, as it is largely a social budget, and any social measures come at a cost to the state.
He stressed that wage increase rates should be determined annually over the next three years, taking into account the country’s economic situation and the global context.
